Analysis of The Effect of Inflation, GRDP, Total Population and HDI on The Rate of Open Unemployment in Four Cities in The Province of North Sumatra
Main Article Content
Berkat Juni Krisman Gulo
Sirojuzilam
Irsad Lubis
Study This aim for test and analyze influence inflation, GRDP, total population, and HDI against level unemployment open at four cities in North Sumatra Province. The type of data used in study is quantitative data types with secondary data. The object in study is four cities in North Sumatra Province. Study This using panel data (Pooled Data). combines Time Series and Cross Section data for 16 years that is start from 2005-2020. Variables used are inflation, GRDP, Total Population and HDI. Method analysis in study This use Fixed Effect Model (FEM), using E-views 10 as tool estimate. Regression results show that Inflation influential negative and no significant to the Open Unemployment Rate, GRDP has an effect negative and significant to the Open Unemployment Rate, Total Resident influential positive and significant effect on the Open Unemployment Rate and HDI negative and no significant to the Open Unemployment Rate. Then exists a connection between Inflation, GRDP, Total Population and HDI with an Open Unemployment Rate of 62.19%. the rest of 37.81% explained by variables others who don't enter into models.
Ariefianto, Moch. Doddy. 2012. Econometrics Essence and Application with Use Eviews. Jakarta: Erlangga.
Arizal, M and Marwan. 2019. Influence Product Gross Regional Domestic and Human Development Index Against the Open Unemployment Rate in West Sumatra Province. EcoGen. Vol. 5, No. 3, 2019.
Arsyad, Lincoln. 2017. Development Economics, Edition Fifth. Yogyakarta: UPP STIM YKPN.
Central Bureau of Statistics of Indonesia. 2011. BPS Strategic Data. Jakarta: Central Bureau of Statistics.
Central Bureau of Statistics. 2021. Medan City Human Development Index 2020. Medan: Central Bureau of Statistics.
Central Bureau of Statistics of North Sumatra. 2022. Products Gross Regional Domestic According to 2017-2021 expenses. Medan: Central Bureau of Statistics.
Blanchard, Olivier and Johnson, R David. 2017. Macroeconomics, Edition Sixth. Jakarta: Erlangga.
Chowdhury, Mohammad Shafiur Rahman. 2014. Determinants of Unemployment in Bangladesh: A Case Study. Developing Country Studies. Vol.4, No.3, 2014. ISSN 2225-05 65.
Geli, Kristina Adventi Koni Routa, Harsono and Widiawati, Diah. 2021. Journal of Regional Economics Indonesia. Vol. 2, No. 1, 2021. ISSN: 92-107.
Ghozali, Imam. 2006. Application Multivariate Analysis with SPSS Program. Semarang: Diponegoro University Publishing Agency.
Gujarati, Damodar N. 2012. Basics Econometrics, Book 2, Edition. 5. Jakarta: Salemba four.
Halim, Muhammad Abdul. 2018. Macroeconomic Theory. Jakarta: Media Discourse Partners.
Hasibuan, Lailan Syafrina. 2021. Analysis The Effect of HDI, Inflation, Economic Growth on Unemployment and Poverty in Indonesia. [Thesis]. Faculty of Economics and Business, University of North Sumatra. Master of Economics Study Program.
Hashim, Ali Ibrahim. 2016. Macroeconomics. Depok: Kencana.
Kuncoro M. 2000. Development Economics: Theory, Problems and Policy. Yogyakarta: UPP AMP YKPN.
Kuncoro, Mudrajad. 2013. Method Research for Business & Economy: How Researching & Writing thesis, Ed.3. Jakarta: Erlangga.
Mahroji, Dwi. 2019. Influence Human Development Index (IPM) against Unemployment in Banten Province. JEQu, Vol. 9, No. 1, 2019.
Mankiw, N Gregory. 2018, Introduction to Macroeconomics. Jakarta: Salemba four.
Mankiw, N. Gregory et. al. 2012. Principles of Economics: An Asian Edition Volume 2. Salemba Four: Jakarta.
Mankiw, N. Gregory. 2006. Macroeconomic Theory. Edition Sixth. Jakarta: Erlangga.
Pure, Asfia. 2006. Macroeconomics. Bandung: PT Refika Aditama.
Nasir, Muhammad. 2014. Monetary Economics and Centralism. Jakarta: Media Discourse Partners.
Nazir. Mohammed. 1988. Methodology Research. Jakarta: Ghalia Indonesia.
Nopirin. 2004. Monetary Economics. BPFE: Yogyakarta.
. 2009. Introduction to Economics: Macro & Micro. BPFE: Yogyakarta.
Permadi, Edo and Chrystanto, Eko. 2021. Analysis Influence Amount Population, Product Gross Regional Domestic (GDP), and District /City Minimum Wage against the Open Unemployment Rate in Districts /Cities in the Province East Java. Oeconomicus, Journal of Economics. Vol. 5, No. 2, 2021. ISSN: 2548-6004.
Priestly, Dian. 2019. Analysis Influence Amount Population, Education, Minimum Wage and GRDP to the Open Unemployment Rate in the Province Central Java. Diponegoro Journal of Economics. Vol. 1, No. 1, 2019. ISSN: 2337-3814.
Daughter, Rizka Febiana. 2015. Analysis Influence Inflation, Economic Growth, and Wages to Unemployment educated. Economics Development Analysis Journal. ISSN 2252-6765.
Rahardja, Prathama 2008. Introduction Economics (Microeconomics and Macroeconomics), Edition Third. Jakarta: Publishing Agency Faculty of Economics, University of Indonesia.
Samuelson, Paul A. and William D. Nordhaus. 2001. Macro-Economics, Edition Fourteenth. Elangga: Jakarta.
Sembiring, Valentine Brahma Putri and Sasongko, Gatot. 2019. Effect of GRDP, Growth Population, and UMK Against Open Unemployment Rate in East Flores District. International Journal of Social Science and Business. Vol. 3, No. 4, 2019. ISSN: 2549-6409.
Simanjuntak, Payaman. 2000. Introduction to Human Resource Economics. Jakarta: LPFE. UI.
